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China Economic Activity/China Money Supply/China Automobile Sector/Hesai Group/RoboSense Technology/China Overseas Land & Investment_Li Ning

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Sector Update | Automobile
We initiate coverage on China's LiDAR sub-segment with BUY ratings on Hesai and RoboSense. Chinese suppliers have slashed LiDAR costs from over US$9,000 to below US$300, fuelling a 49% five-year shipment CAGR to 2030. Hesai and RoboSense form a 60% duopoly, driven by ADAS and robotics demand. Both are at profit inflections: Hesai turned net profitable in 2025, and RoboSense should follow in 2026. We set DCF targets of HK$33.00 and HK$50.00 respectively. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the automobile sector.
Initiate Coverage | Hesai Group (2983 HK/BUY/HK$15.77/Target: HK$33.00)
Hesai is a global LiDAR leader with over 30% of the ADAS market and over 60% of the robotaxi market. Its chipised design, platformisation and high automation rate drive cost leadership, while new high-value products and a strategic shift toward spatial AI underpin future growth. It has secured major contracts with key OEMs and robotaxi operators. We expect net profit to grow at a 46% three-year CAGR through 2028. Initiate coverage with BUY and a DCF-derived target price of HK$33.00.
Initiate Coverage | RoboSense Technology Co (2498 HK/BUY/HK$22.56/Target: HK$50.00)
RoboSense has evolved from a pure LiDAR hardware supplier into an AI-driven robotics platform with full-stack capabilities. Its self-developed SPAD-SoC and 2D VCSEL chips underpin cost leadership in digital LiDARs. With over 9m units in backlog and a pivot to physical AI via AC-series sensors, we expect a turnaround to a Rmb91m net profit in 2026 and a 173% two-year CAGR through 2028. We initiate coverage with a BUY and DCF-derived target price of HK$50.00.
Technical Analysis
Meituan | 3690 HK
Support levels: HK$76.65/HK$70.20
Resistance levels: HK$91.35/HK$107.00
CK Hutchison | 1 HK
Support levels: HK$67.75/HK$65.95
Resistance levels: HK$80.15/HK$86.00
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